Uneven Agricultural Land Conversion and Clustered Patterns in Bandung Regency

A Subdistrict-Level Quantitative Analysis

Abstract

This study examines the structure of agricultural land conversion at the subdistrict level in Bandung Regency within the framework of Lahan Pertanian Pangan Berkelanjutan (LP2B). The study aims to analyze the distribution and intensity of land conversion, assess the relationship between land availability and conversion dynamics, and identify structural clustering patterns. A quantitative cross-sectional design was employed using secondary data from 29 subdistricts. Analytical methods include descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, linear regression (as a supporting test), and K-Means clustering based on conversion intensity and absolute conversion. The results reveal that agricultural land conversion is highly uneven and concentrated in a small number of subdistricts. Statistical analysis shows a weak and insignificant relationship between land availability and conversion (r = –0.299; p = 0.115), indicating that land size does not significantly determine conversion outcomes. Cluster analysis identifies three distinct groups—moderate/low pressure, high pressure, and extreme loss—demonstrating that land conversion follows non-random and structurally differentiated patterns. These findings suggest that land conversion is driven more by localized pressures and institutional dynamics than by land availability alone. This study contributes by advancing a non-spatial, statistically grounded approach to understanding land conversion and highlights the need for more targeted and adaptive policy interventions in agricultural land protection.